Investment Advice for Retirees: Retirement is less about “beating the market” and more about “beating inflation for the rest of your life.” That means knowing three things:

  1. The real return you must earn to fund your lifestyle (usually stated as “CPI + x%”).

  2. The real return you’re actually earning after fees and withdrawals.

  3. The gap‑closing levers you can pull – adjusting drawdowns, asset mix, fees, and guarantees.

Everything that follows helps you nail those three points while still protecting against sequence risk, longevity risk, and the emotional tug‑of‑war between spending and leaving a legacy.

Once you stop actively working and earning, the rules of the investment game undergo a significant shift. No longer are you climbers, scaling the capital growth mountain. Instead, you find yourself on the other side, carefully navigating that descent with the goal of ensuring your financial resources last as long as you do. This transition brings with it new freedoms, challenges, and considerations. Here we try to help you unpack them all …

Investment Advice for Retirees

Understanding the Shift: From Capital Growth to Income Generation

Before retirement, investing is all about the climb — stacking up capital and letting time smooth out market bumps. Once the salary stops, the goal flips: you’re no longer chasing growth; you’re drawing a pay‑cheque from the pile you’ve built. In that phase, market swings plus regular withdrawals can turn a normal dip into a double hit, threatening the very income you rely on. A fresh plan is essential to keep those withdrawals sustainable while still giving your money room to grow.

Know Your Number – How to Calculate the Return You Need

Formula for Investment Return Needed for Retirees After Fees
Simple formula for calculating the investment return you need.
InputExample
Annual after‑tax spendingR600 000
Portfolio valueR12 million
Drawdown rate5 %
Long‑run SA CPI assumption5 %
All‑in fees1.2 %
Plugging those figures in gives a required CPI + 4.9 % real return. If you only aim for CPI + 2 %, your lifestyle will almost certainly fall short.

Why “What’s my IRR?” beats “What did the factsheet say?”

The mini‑dashboard below is useful for a quick health‑check, but it still tells only half the story.

PeriodAfter‑fee portfolio returnYour CPI + targetResult
1 yr11.0 %CPI + 4 %= 9.2 %🟢
3 yrs (ann.)7.3 %9.2 %🟠
5 yrs (ann.)6.4 %9.2 %🔴

These percentages are time‑weighted fund or portfolio returns – the same numbers you see on factsheets. They assume R1 stayed invested for the whole period and never moved. Retirees, of course, don’t live that way:

  • You add capital (dividends or income re-invested).
  • You subtract capital (monthly drawdowns, ad‑hoc medical bills, a new grandkid fund).
  • The market bounces around while all that is happening.

Because of those cash‑flow jolts, the return that truly matters is your money‑weighted return, a.k.a. IRR (Internal Rate of Return). Think of your NET IRR as your personal scorecard … it answers:

“For every rand I actually had at risk – given the exact dates I put money in and pulled money out – what annualised growth did I earn? (taking into account all fees)”

Four reasons why IRR is a critical piece of investment advice for retirees

1. Sequence risk made visible
Time‑weighted figures hide the nastiness of drawing income during a slump. IRR exposes whether those unlucky withdrawals have dragged your personal return well below the headline 6.4 %/7.3 %.

2. Behavioural truth serum
If you panic‑sold after a market wobble and bought back later, the IRR captures that cost. The factsheet politely looks the other way.

3. Alignment with your lifestyle maths
Your sustainable drawdown hinges on earning (say) CPI + 5 % after fees. Only IRR lets you check whether that hurdle is being met with the capital you actually have left.

4. Better, quicker course‑corrections
Spotting a widening IRR‑vs‑target gap early means you can tweak asset mix, fee drag or withdrawal rate before the shortfall becomes irreversible.

Bottom line
Factsheet returns show how the fund manager performed.
Your Net IRR shows how you performed – given your cash flows, your timing, and your behaviour. For retirement planning, that personal number is the one that tells you whether the plan is still on track or needs an urgent tune‑up.

Bridging the Gap: Four Levers That Really Move the Needle

1. Flexible Drawdowns

  • Adopt a “guard‑rail” or “no inflation increase in bad years” rule.
  • Example: Skip the 2025 increase and you slice the required real return by ~1 %.

2. Re‑allocate for Growth (without courting ruin)

  • Dial up offshore equity or add growth‑with‑defence strategies (hedge & smoothing funds).
  • Keep ~3 years of planned withdrawals in cash & low‑volatility income funds to neutralise sequence risk.

3. Slash Costs & Taxes

  • A 1 % drop in fees raises your sustainable drawdown by ~0.5 %.
  • Use Tax‑Free Savings Accounts and RA’s for tax-efficient growth and to reduce your annual tax liability … and investment wrappers for discretionary assets to potentially save on CGT and eliminate executors fees.

4. Lock in a Floor

  • Consider carving out 20–30 % of capital for a guaranteed life annuity now that real yields are near long- time highs.

Further Reading: Bridging the retirement gap and making the transition to the next phase of life.

Understanding the Dangers of Sequence Risk is a Critical Piece of Investment Advice for Retirees

Sequence risk is the silent assassin of retirement portfolios. It’s not just how much you earn, but when you earn – or lose – it that matters once you’re drawing an income. Picture this: you retire, markets tumble, and you still need your monthly pay‑cheque. Each withdrawal forces you to sell more units at bargain‑basement prices, shrinking the pot faster than a rally can rebuild it. That’s exactly what blindsided many new retirees during 2008.

The chart below tells the story. All three investors averaged 6.5 % a year for a decade, yet Investor 3 ends up with only half the capital of Investor 1 because the bad years hit first. The antidote? Keep at least a few years of income in low‑volatility buckets – cash, smoothing or hedge‑style funds, alternatives – so you’re not forced to sell growth assets at the worst possible time.

Now Read: Key Factors to Consider When Doing Your Financial Planning for Retirement

The impact of sequence risk living annuity sustainability
Sequence risk can cause you to deplete capital faster

Investment Freedom After Regulation 28

More choice, higher stakes, smarter strategy

Once you start drawing from a living annuity, Regulation 28’s guard‑rails fall away. That’s liberating—you can, in theory, put 100 % of your capital offshore, ramp up equity exposure, add hedge funds, or buy specialised credit and real‑asset funds. But it’s also like swapping a swimming‑pool lane rope for open‑ocean sailing: exhilarating … and easy to drift off course.

What the extra freedom really means

OpportunityWhy it’s temptingHidden snags to watch
Global diversification (equity, bonds, REITs)Offshore funds have been the only SA‑approved assets reliably beating CPI + 5 % over the last decadeCurrency risk; platform and fund fees often expensive
Alternative assets (hedge, private credit, real assets, smoothing funds)Low correlation to SA equity; potential “crisis alpha” to blunt sequence riskLiquidity lock‑ups; higher performance fees; due‑diligence burden
Concentrated/thematic ETFs (AI, green energy, healthcare)Target growth sectors directlyVolatility spikes; themes fall out of favour just when you need income stability
Flexible multi‑asset funds (no 75 % equity cap)Managers can shift quickly across geographies and asset classesReturns hinge on manager skill; style drift can creep in unnoticed

A smarter way to use the freedom

1. Anchor to your required real return
Start with the CPI + goal you calculated earlier (e.g., CPI + 5 %). Everything you add or cut should make hitting that number more likely.

2. Core–satellite portfolio design

  • Core (60–80 %): broad, global and SA equity/bond/multi-asset funds that have a fairly broad mandate.
  • Satellite (20–40 %): higher‑octane or defensive sleeves – hedge funds, alternatives, thematic or regionally focused funds, smoothing funds – to fine‑tune risk and cash‑flow.

3. Sequence‑risk buffer
Park at least two to three years of planned withdrawals in cash or ultra‑low‑volatility income funds. That safety net lets your growth assets recover after a rough patch instead of forcing sales at fire‑sale prices.

4. Fee and tax hygiene
Freedom often tempts investors into high‑cost funds and/or wrappers (particuluarly for discretionary assets). Scrutinise TICs, uduly high advice fees, and look for tax‑efficient structures.

4. Governance guard‑rails
Re‑introduce your own “Reg 28” by setting maximum percentages for any single asset class, currency, or manager. Review annually.

ASISA Peer Group Fund Returns as at 31/03/2025
Source: Morningstar to 31/03/2025. Your hunt for investment returns widens

Achieving a NET IRR of Inflation Plus 5 for example is not as easy as it seems when you consider the peer group returns over 7 years of various investment fund categories. The ‘best’ returns also typically come with the highest volatility which amplify sequence risk. Constructing a post-retirement income portfolio is therefore far more challenging.

Longevity Risk — and Why Your Drawdown Rule Is the First Line of Defence

Nothing spooks retirees like the idea of running out of money before running out of birthdays. That anxiety often pushes people into “capital‑hoarding” mode: park everything in cash, trim spending to the bone, hope inflation behaves. Unfortunately, the math works the other way—too much caution today can cause the shortfall tomorrow.

Take calculated, not blind, risk

1. Targeted Growth
Keep enough in equities and inflation‑beaters to outpace rising costs, but ring‑fence at least 2–3 years of income in low‑volatility buckets so you can ride out market storms without panic‑selling.

2. Partial Guarantees
Swap 20–30 % of your pot for a life annuity when rates are attractive. That creates a lifelong “pension floor,” letting the rest of the portfolio breathe.

3. Flexible Drawdowns (fold this into the “Dynamic Drawdown Strategies” table)

StrategyHow it worksProsCons
Fixed % plus CPIClassic 5 % draw, adjust for inflation annuallySimpleIgnores market reality
Guard‑railSkip inflation hikes if portfolio falls > 10 %Protects capitalRequires annual review
Floor‑and‑ceilingWithdraw between 4 %–6 % depending on returnsSmooths pay‑chequeMore complex admin
Partial annuitisationSwap part of portfolio for guaranteed life incomeRemoves floor riskLess liquidity

Use whichever rule fits your temperament, but keep two principles front‑and‑centre:

  • Sustainability beats certainty. A flexible 4–5 % draw that adapts to markets usually outlasts a rigid “never‑budge” plan.
  • Growth never goes out of style. Even at age 80, a slice of equity keeps future purchasing power alive.

Pair those principles with sensible diversification and periodic check‑ups, and longevity risk becomes a manageable planning factor – not a constant nightmare.

Legacy Concerns: The Psychological Weight of Inheritance

Wanting to leave something meaningful for the kids is both natural and admirable – but it can really mess with your investment psyche. The urge to protect the pot often pushes retirees into ultra‑safe, low‑growth choices that barely outrun inflation, let alone fund day‑to‑day living. The trick is to remember that the best legacy is a retiree who never needs to knock on their children’s door for help. Nail your own income and inflation goals first; whatever capital remains (and it often does if the plan is sound) becomes the bonus you pass on – guilt‑free and with a smile.

Now Read: Is R5 million enough to retire on in South Africa today?

Further Reading: Why Investment Returns Matter for Your Retirement Income Portfolio

Putting it all together — your next five moves

Investment advice for retirees is equal parts math and mindset. Yes, you must know the withdrawal percentages, tax wrinkles and asset‑allocation knobs. But you also have to tame the emotions that flare up around market dips, legacy wishes and the simple fear of running out of money. The good news? A disciplined, bite‑sized process turns that swirling complexity into something you can actually do this week.

What to doHow / Where
1Know your numberUse the Henceforward  the formula above to pin down the real return your plan requires.
2Measure realityPull the latest statement from your platform provider and check your personal IRR. Compare it with that CPI‑plus target.
3Spot the gapTraffic‑light your results: green = on track, amber = mild shortfall, red = urgent action.
4Choose your leverLower withdrawals, tweak asset mix for growth, trim fees, or add an annuity – whatever best closes the gap for you.
5Book an annual reviewSchedule a 30‑minute check‑in with a CFP® to keep the plan honest and up‑to‑date.

Further Reading: The Best Balanced Funds for Retirees in Today’s World

The takeaway

Retirement investing doesn’t stop when the pay‑cheque stops; it evolves. By following the five‑step loop above … calculate, measure, diagnose, adjust, review … you turn a once‑and‑done retirement date into a living, breathing strategy that can flex with markets, inflation, and your lifestyle ambitions.

Need a co‑pilot? Henceforward’s planners are a click away. Together we’ll crunch your numbers, stress‑test the portfolio, and make sure the legacy you envision never jeopardises the income you need today.

Enjoy the next chapter—you’ve earned it.

Picture of Carl-Peter Lehmann

Carl-Peter Lehmann

Carl‑Peter Lehmann, CFP®, is a Director‑Partner at Henceforward in Cape Town. With 20+ years in wealth management, he specialises in turning retirement savings into sustainable, inflation‑beating income - always on a transparent flat‑fee basis.